The 2022 Indianapolis 500 takes place at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on Sunday, and Scott Dixon will start from pole for the record fifth time. Dixon is a six-time IndyCar Series champion and an Indy 500 winner in 2008. But despite all these opportunities to get started on the field, his only victory was at The Brickyard in 19 attempts. In fact, Dixon has finished 17th and 32nd in the last two times he’s been #1, so he’s far from guaranteed to be on top on Sunday when the green flag drops at 12:45 p.m. ET.
However, Dixon has won 50 IndyCar and will have a clean air advantage starting in the front row, so it’s no surprise that he’s a 4-1 favorite in the predictions .2222 Indianapolis 500 from Caesars Sportsbook. Alex Palou will start in the middle of the front row and is 9-2 in Indy 500 odds, while Rinus VeeKay will start outside the front row and is listed at 12-1. Before you pop into the 2022 Indy 500 starting grid and make your predictions for this race, be sure to check out the latest predictions for the 2022 Indianapolis 500 from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by Everyday Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this exclusive car race prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
In the 2021 NASCAR season, McClure predicted Martin Truex Jr. will win Martinsville for a 3-1 victory. He then declared Chase Elliott the winner at Rhode America with a 5-2 victory. McClure’s model also declared Larson to win Texas, 11-4, and Kansas, 9-4, in consecutive weeks, before declaring Larson the winner of the season finale in Phoenix and the 2021 NASCAR Cup.
In total, the company racked up five wins for Larson in a historic season and also went 15-9 in his direct odds to start the 2022 season. Earlier in the season, betting on Ross Chastain’s win in Austin, he has a much better chance of winning than his 40-1 odds. The pattern was also very well suited to Joey Logano before he beat Darlington by a factor of 15 to 1. Anyone who follows the pattern on these bets has had great results.
The model has now simulated the 2022 Indianapolis 500 10,000 times (see posts on StubHub). Head over to SportsLine to see the full 2022 Indy 500 standings.
Best Predictions for 2022 Indy 500
Surprise: The model is a huge favourite for Colton Herta, despite being an 18 to 1 loser in the latest predictions for the 2022 Indianapolis 500. It’s a target for anyone looking to make big money. The 22-year-old American open-wheeled driver has won the IndyCar Series seven times and was the Indy Lights Champion in 2017 and 2018.
He claimed a Grand Prix circuit win at Indianapolis Motor Speedway earlier this month and has now won three of his last seven IndyCar starts. Herta will start from inside row 9, but although he has plenty of ground to make up after poor qualification, he will be a factor in his Honda Andretti Autosport. It may be his last chance to have his name engraved in the Indy 500 history books, as the transition to Formula 1 is rumored to be on the verge of fermenting.
And a big surprise: Pato Award, a Vegas favorite at 17-2, falters and fails to make the top five. There are much better values in the 2022 Indy 500 starting grid. The 23-year-old Mexican driver made his IndyCar debut in 2018, reached Victory Lane three times early in his IndyCar career and finished in the top six in the last two model Indy 500s.
However, he is still inexperienced with only 43 careers starting IndyCar under his belt and will have to hope Hondas don’t cooperate and explode soon. Four of the six racers who were ahead of him in the starting grid for the 2022 Indianapolis 500 are at Hondas and will likely work together early. O’Ward is currently seventh in the 2022 IndyCar standings.
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The model is also targeting four other drivers whose 2022 Indy 500 odds are 18-1 or higher, who will likely make it to the checkered flag. Anyone who supports these pilots can take a huge hit. You can check out the entire model standings for the Indy 500 on SportsLine.
So who will win the 2022 Indy 500? Who are the strangers who will appear at the checkered flag? Check out the latest 2022 Indianapolis 500 odds below, then head over to SportsLine for the full standings for the 2022 Indianapolis 500, compiled by the model who correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.
2022 Indianapolis 500 odds (via Caesars Sportsbook)
Scott Dixon 4-1
Alex Ballou 9-2
Batu Award 17-2
Joseph Newgarden 10-1
Rinus Vichai 12-1
Marcus Ericsson 14-1
Takuma Sato 14-1
Jimmy Johnson 16-1
Will Power 18-1
Colton Hertha 18-1
Tony Kanaan 18-1
Ed Carpenter 22-1
Scott McLaughlin 22-1
Simon Pagenaud 25-1
Romain Grosjean 25-1
Helio Castroneves 25-1
Felix Rosenqvist 25-1
Alexander Rossi 30-1
Graham Rahal 50-1
David Mallukas 50-1
Connor Daly 50-1
Marco Andretti 60-1
GR Hildebrand 75-1
Juan Pablo Montoya 100-1
Sage Cream 100-1
Jack Harvey 125-1
Santino Ferrucci 125-1
Kyle Kirkwood 150-1
Callum Ellot 150-1
Christian Lundgaard 200-1
Devlin Di Francesco 250-1
Stefan Wilson 500-1
dalton kelet 500-1
Indianapolis 500 . kickoff grid
1st row – Scott Dixon, Alex Ballou, Rinus Vicki
2nd row – Ed Carpenter, Marcus Ericsson, Tony Kanaan
Row 3 – Pato Award, Felix Rosenqvist, Romain Grosjean
Row 4 – Takuma Sato, Will Bauer, Jimmy Johnson
Fifth grade – David Mallukas, Joseph Newgarden, Santino Ferrucci
Grade 6- Simon Pagenaud, JR Hildebrand, Conor Daly
Grade 7- Callum Ellot, Alexander Rossi, Graham Rahal
Row 8 – Sage Crum, Marco Andretti, Devlin Di Francesco
Grade 9 – Colton Herta, Scott McLaughlin, Helio Castroneves
Grade 10 – Kyle Kirkwood, Dalton Kellett, Juan Pablo Montoya
Grade 11 – Christian Lundgaard, Jack Harvey, Stefan Wilson