Total spending on video games in the United States is expected to decline year on year, the NPD Group said in results released Wednesday, a report that also predicts Elden Ring will be the best-selling game in 2022. An earlier report said that Global spending on video games will also fall this year, in part due to a tough comparison with 2021, the year when the pandemic kept people at home, playing more games and spending more money. on them.
The new NPD Group report also contains predictions for what to expect from the best-selling games and consoles for 2022, with Elden Ring set to be the best-selling game of the year, and the Switch ending the year as the best-selling game. Best selling console.
Starting with spending, this amount is expected to reach $55.5 billion in 2022 in the US, down 8.7% from 2021. This figure covers spending on hardware, games, and accessories.
“Some drivers of the decline include a return of trial spending, higher prices in categories of everyday expenses such as food and fuel, uncertain supply of video game console hardware and certain accessories such as console games, and a lighter game menu, among others,” the NPD said.
The company said the growth in total players and “engagement” between 2020 and 2021 – at the height of the pandemic – has now leveled off.
NPD has selected 10 games expected to be the best-selling games of 2022, and they include (in alphabetical order): Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2, Elden Ring, God of War Ragnarok, Gotham Knights, Horizon: Forbidden West, and Lego Star Wars: The Skywalker Saga, Madden NFL 23, NBA 2K23, Pokemon Legends: Arceus, and Pokemon Scarlet/Violet.
NPD said it will be Elden Ring ending 2022 as the best-selling game of the year, only the third time since 2009 that Call of Duty hasn’t finished at number one. The other two exceptions were 2013 (GTA V) and 2018 (Red Dead Redemption II). While Elden Ring is expected to be the best-selling single game of 2022 in the United States, the Call of Duty series will be the best-selling franchise in 2022 for the 14th consecutive year, NPD reports.
Elden Ring is already the best-selling game in the US for the past 12 months, even surpassing Call of Duty: Vanguard. According to Bandai Namco’s latest count, Elden Ring has shipped more than 13 million units worldwide.
Elden Ring launched in February and Modern Warfare 2 is coming in late October, so Elden Ring will have more time on the market to boost sales than Activision’s shooter series. However, this would still be a great feat for Elden Ring.
For hardware, the market is not yet back to normal, NPD said, in part due to supply constraints. PS5 and Xbox Series X consoles are “particularly” interested here. The Switch is expected to be the best-selling console of 2022 based on units sold. However, NPD said it’s very close to calling which platform will take the lead this year based on dollar sales between Switch, PS5, and Xbox Series X | s.
Additionally, the NPD claimed that the Xbox Series X | The S will be the only console platform to see dollar sales growth in 2022 compared to 2021. The research company also said it believes the console shortage will continue into 2023, especially for the PS5 and Xbox Series X.
For gaming, spending on consoles, PC and mobile games is expected to decline, with only subscription revenue expected to grow this year. In terms of accessories, this category is also expected to decline, the NPD said, although spending is expected to rise from pre-pandemic levels. However, spending on headphones and earbuds will not be able to keep up with the strong growth during the height of the pandemic, when people were buying accessories to ease the transition to working from home.
“We live in an interesting time. And while the video game market in general can be at least partially isolated from factors affecting the broader economy, the resurgence of experimental spending and price hikes in everyday spending categories seems to have an impact on the space,” says the party. Democratic National. “Ongoing manufacturing challenges, particularly the release of new consoles and accessories such as gamepads, also play a role, as does the slate of lighter versions of premium gaming content.”
The company added, “There are many unknowns that are known when trying to predict the second part, and the list of unknowns could be longer. In the short term this means potential declines, uncertainty and disruption. While in the long term, the growth prospects of the video game space remain as strong as ever. time ago “.
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